Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Real Murcia II take on Lorca Deportiva on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Real Murcia II are 15th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Lorca Deportiva sit 8th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Real Murcia II's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Yeclano 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lorca Deportiva's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Atlético Baleares 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Lorca Deportiva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Real Murcia II and 1.4 for Lorca Deportiva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Murcia II 31%, draw 23%, Lorca Deportiva 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Real Murcia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Murcia II31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Lorca Deportiva45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.09Real Murcia II xG
1.37Lorca Deportiva xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 1.1 – 1.4 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorca Deportiva to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorca Deportiva / FT Lorca Deportiva✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Real Murcia II – last 6
DLWLLL
11 Oct
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Castellonense
0–3
L
27 Sep
@ Peña Deportiva
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Mallorca II
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ La Nucía
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Orihuela
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
DWLWDL
18 Oct
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ La Nucía
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Castellón II
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Intercity
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Orihuela
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lorca Deportiva 45%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
