Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Orihuela to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrihuela to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceOrihuela or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Orihuela vs Cieza preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Orihuela take on Cieza on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Orihuela are 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Cieza sit 6th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Orihuela's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Castellón II 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cieza's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Atlético Baleares 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Orihuela and 0.7 for Cieza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orihuela 62%, draw 22%, Cieza 16%.
Safer route: Orihuela or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Orihuela to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orihuela or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orihuela 1–0 Cieza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orihuela62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Cieza16%fair 6.12 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.68Orihuela xG
0.70Cieza xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.7 – 0.7 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✗
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Orihuela or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.44
–
Form
Orihuela – last 6
LDDWWL
26 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–4
L
20 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
2–2
D
16 Sep
vs Real Murcia
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cieza – last 6
DLWDWL
27 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Castellonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Cieza.
Our pick is Orihuela or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Orihuela vs Cieza?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cieza 16%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Cieza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Cieza?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–0 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Cieza?
Orihuela vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
