Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Valencia II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Valencia II to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultValencia II to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceValencia II or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.12
Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Valencia II take on Peña Deportiva on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT). Valencia II are 17th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Peña Deportiva sit 18th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Valencia II's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Poblense 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Peña Deportiva's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Real Murcia II 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.2 for Valencia II and 0.4 for Peña Deportiva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valencia II 63%, draw 20%, Peña Deportiva 17%.
Safer route: Valencia II or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Valencia II to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valencia II or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Valencia II 1–0 Peña Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valencia II63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.50
Peña Deportiva17%fair 5.89 · @3.80
1.63Expected goals
1.24Valencia II xG
0.39Peña Deportiva xG
46%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–020%
2–015%
1–19%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Valencia II 1.2 – 0.4 Peña Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia II to win✓
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Valencia II or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia II / FT Valencia II✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.12
–
Form
Valencia II – last 6
LLLDLW
27 Sep
@ Poblense
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Ucam Murcia
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Mallorca II
1–1
D
3 May
@ Olot
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Espanyol II
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Peña Deportiva – last 6
LLDLLW
27 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Elche II
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Ibiza
0–5
L
20 Jun
vs Arenas Armilla
5–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia II and Peña Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva?
Our pick is Valencia II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva?
On our numbers Valencia II have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Peña Deportiva 17%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Valencia II 1–0 Peña Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva?
Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
