Value bet: La Nucía to win @ 2.70 – our chance 46% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Nucía to win ✗46% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Deportiva Minera take on La Nucía on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT). Deportiva Minera are 1st with 20 points from 9 games (top of the table), while La Nucía sit 5th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Deportiva Minera's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Alcoyano 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
La Nucía's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Mallorca II 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
La Nucía arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Deportiva Minera and 1.2 for La Nucía. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportiva Minera 30%, draw 24%, La Nucía 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: La Nucía to win at 2.70 – 46% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportiva Minera 1–1 La Nucía. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportiva Minera30%fair 3.31 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
La Nucía46%fair 2.18 · @2.70
2.13Expected goals
0.91Deportiva Minera xG
1.22La Nucía xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportiva Minera 0.9 – 1.2 La Nucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✗
46%
2.18
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.90
–
Form
Deportiva Minera – last 6
LDDWWW
27 Sep
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Orihuela
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mallorca II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eldense B
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Cartagena LU II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
La Nucía – last 6
WWWWLW
27 Sep
vs Mallorca II
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Yeclano
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs Poblense
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Alcoyano
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Trival Valderas
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportiva Minera and La Nucía.
What is the prediction for Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
On our numbers Deportiva Minera have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and La Nucía 46%.
How many goals will there be in Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
Our predicted score is Deportiva Minera 1–1 La Nucía, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía?
Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
