Atlético Baleares vs Poblense prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Atlético Baleares to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Baleares to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Atlético Baleares vs Poblense preview and prediction
The match
Poblense travel to Estadio Balear in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT) to face Atlético Baleares. Atlético Baleares are 10th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Poblense sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlético Baleares's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Cieza 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Poblense's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Valencia II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 August 2026, finished Poblense 1–0 Atlético Baleares. Across their last 2 meetings Atlético Baleares have won 0, Poblense 1, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Atlético Baleares and 0.8 for Poblense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Baleares 60%, draw 19%, Poblense 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlético Baleares to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Atlético Baleares 1–0 Poblense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Baleares60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.40
Poblense21%fair 4.74 · @4.60
2.38Expected goals
1.60Atlético Baleares xG
0.78Poblense xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atlético Baleares 1.6 – 0.8 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Baleares vs Poblense?
Our pick is Atlético Baleares to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Poblense?
On our numbers Atlético Baleares have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Poblense 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Baleares vs Poblense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Baleares vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Atlético Baleares 1–0 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atlético Baleares vs Poblense?
Atlético Baleares vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Balear.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
