Value bet: Mallorca II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMallorca II to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.45
Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II preview and prediction
The match
Mallorca II travel to face Real Murcia II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 20 September (11:00 WAT). Real Murcia II are 15th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Mallorca II sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Real Murcia II's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to La Nucía 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mallorca II's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Deportiva Minera 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mallorca II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Real Murcia II and 1.5 for Mallorca II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Murcia II 33%, draw 23%, Mallorca II 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Mallorca II to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Real Murcia II 1–1 Mallorca II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Murcia II33%fair 3.06 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Mallorca II44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.25Real Murcia II xG
1.50Mallorca II xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 1.3 – 1.5 Mallorca II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca II to win✓
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca II / FT Mallorca II✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.45
–
Form
Real Murcia II – last 6
LLDWWD
13 Sep
@ La Nucía
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Orihuela
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Pamplona
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Olímpico Totana
2–1
W
31 May
@ Olímpico Totana
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mallorca II – last 6
DDWWDW
13 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Valencia II
1–1
D
3 May
vs Mercadal
7–0
W
19 Apr
vs Felanitx
8–1
W
12 Apr
@ Peña Deportiva
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Portmany
5–0
W
3.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Mallorca II.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mallorca II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 1–1 Mallorca II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
