Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia preview and prediction
The match
Ucam Murcia travel to Estadio Balear in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 20 September (10:30 WAT) to face Atlético Baleares. Atlético Baleares are 10th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Ucam Murcia sit 2nd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Atlético Baleares's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Intercity 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ucam Murcia's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Valencia II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Atlético Baleares arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Atlético Baleares and 1.0 for Ucam Murcia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Baleares 44%, draw 23%, Ucam Murcia 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Atlético Baleares 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Baleares44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Ucam Murcia33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.24Atlético Baleares xG
1.01Ucam Murcia xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Atlético Baleares 1.2 – 1.0 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Baleares to win✗
44%
2.28
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Baleares / FT Atlético Baleares✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Atlético Baleares – last 6
DLWWLW
13 Sep
@ Intercity
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
21 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Poblense
0–1
L
31 May
vs Real Jaén
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WLLLLL
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
3 May
@ Xerez
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Real Jaén
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ La Unión Atlético
1–4
L
5 Apr
@ Deportiva Minera
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Baleares and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Atlético Baleares have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ucam Murcia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Atlético Baleares 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Balear.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
