Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Campo de la ConstitucionYeclano vs La Nucía prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗
Value bet: La Nucía to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Yeclano 1.3 – 1.2 La Nucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Yeclano and La Nucía on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Yeclano have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. La Nucía have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Yeclano, 1.2 for La Nucía). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.10 is better than our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, La Nucía to win at 3.20 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Yeclano to win ✗ | 37% | 2.69 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Yeclano / FT Yeclano ✗ | 21% | 4.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.71 | – |
Form
Yeclano – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Peña Deportiva | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Atlético Baleares | 1–0 | W |
| 3 May | vs Estepona | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Lorca Deportiva | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | @ Antoniano | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Mar | @ Puente Genil | 1–0 | W |
La Nucía – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Real Murcia II | 5–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Poblense | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Alcoyano | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | vs Trival Valderas | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | @ Trival Valderas | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Jun | @ Levante II | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yeclano and La Nucía.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Yeclano vs La Nucía?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Yeclano vs La Nucía?
On our numbers Yeclano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and La Nucía 37%.
How many goals will there be in Yeclano vs La Nucía?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Yeclano vs La Nucía?
Yeclano vs La Nucía (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de la Constitucion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.