Value bet: Intercity to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIntercity to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity preview and prediction
The match
Lorca Deportiva host Intercity in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Lorca Deportiva are 8th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Intercity sit 9th on 13 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lorca Deportiva's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Orihuela 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Intercity's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Atlético Baleares 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Intercity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Lorca Deportiva and 1.4 for Intercity. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Intercity to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Intercity. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lorca Deportiva30%fair 3.35 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.75
Intercity45%fair 2.21 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.09Lorca Deportiva xG
1.41Intercity xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Lorca Deportiva 1.1 – 1.4 Intercity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Intercity to win✗
45%
2.21
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Intercity / FT Intercity✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.62
–
Form
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
LDLLDD
13 Sep
@ Orihuela
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Elche II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Águilas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Yeclano
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Almería II
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Intercity – last 6
DWLWWW
13 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Levante II
0–1
L
11 Aug
vs Jove Español
2–1
W
3 May
vs Colonia Moscardó
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Getafe II
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorca Deportiva and Intercity.
What is the prediction for Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
On our numbers Lorca Deportiva have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Intercity 45%.
How many goals will there be in Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
Our predicted score is Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Intercity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
