Alcoyano host Poblense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Collao. Alcoyano are 7th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Poblense sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alcoyano's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Castellón II 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Poblense's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Castellonense 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Alcoyano and 1.1 for Poblense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alcoyano 1–1 Poblense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcoyano39%fair 2.53 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.62
Poblense33%fair 3.02 · @3.40
2.25Expected goals
1.19Alcoyano xG
1.06Poblense xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.2 – 1.1 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✓
39%
2.53
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
Alcoyano – last 6
LDWWDD
12 Sep
@ Castellón II
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Cieza
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Hércules
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ La Nucía
2–1
W
17 May
@ SS Reyes
1–1
D
3 May
@ Porreres
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Poblense – last 6
LLWDWW
13 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ La Nucía
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
1–0
W
24 May
@ Águilas
0–0
D
17 May
vs Numancia
2–1
W
10 May
@ Numancia
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Poblense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Poblense?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Poblense 33%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Poblense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–1 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Poblense?
Alcoyano vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
