Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 56% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +68%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.00
Double chanceYeclano or draw ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37% · fair 2.72
Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano preview and prediction
The match
Peña Deportiva host Yeclano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT). Peña Deportiva are 18th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Yeclano sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Peña Deportiva's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Deportiva Minera 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Yeclano's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Atlético Baleares 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.4 for Peña Deportiva and 0.6 for Yeclano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Value angle: Draw at 3.00 – 56% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yeclano or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Peña Deportiva 0–0 Yeclano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peña Deportiva17%fair 5.82 · @3.30
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.00
Yeclano27%fair 3.73 · @2.10
1.00Expected goals
0.43Peña Deportiva xG
0.57Yeclano xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–03%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 0.4 – 0.6 Yeclano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.78
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Yeclano or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
37%
2.72
–
Form
Peña Deportiva – last 6
LLWDWW
6 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Ibiza
0–5
L
20 Jun
vs Arenas Armilla
5–2
W
14 Jun
@ Arenas Armilla
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Manacor
3–1
W
30 May
vs Manacor
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yeclano – last 6
WDDDWW
6 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–0
W
3 May
vs Estepona
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Lorca Deportiva
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Antoniano
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Puente Genil
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Málaga II
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Yeclano.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
Our pick is Yeclano or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Yeclano 27%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 0–0 Yeclano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano?
Peña Deportiva vs Yeclano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
