Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Nucía to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceLa Nucía or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29
La Nucía vs Real Murcia II preview and prediction
The match
La Nucía host Real Murcia II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). La Nucía are 5th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Real Murcia II sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
La Nucía's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Poblense 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Murcia II's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Orihuela 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for La Nucía and 0.5 for Real Murcia II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Nucía 66%, draw 21%, Real Murcia II 13%.
Safer route: La Nucía or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was La Nucía to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: La Nucía 1–0 Real Murcia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Nucía66%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Real Murcia II13%fair 7.44 · @4.33
2.14Expected goals
1.61La Nucía xG
0.53Real Murcia II xG
37%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Nucía 1.6 – 0.5 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✓
66%
1.53
1.73 ▲
Double chance
La Nucía or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.29
–
Form
La Nucía – last 6
WLWDDW
6 Sep
vs Poblense
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Alcoyano
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Trival Valderas
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Trival Valderas
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Levante II
1–1
D
31 May
vs Levante II
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Murcia II – last 6
LDWWDW
5 Sep
vs Orihuela
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Pamplona
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Olímpico Totana
2–1
W
31 May
@ Olímpico Totana
1–1
D
24 May
vs Mazarrón FC
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Nucía and Real Murcia II.
What is the prediction for La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is La Nucía to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers La Nucía have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Murcia II 13%.
How many goals will there be in La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
Our predicted score is La Nucía 1–0 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is La Nucía vs Real Murcia II?
La Nucía vs Real Murcia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
