Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
Orihuela host Lorca Deportiva in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Orihuela are 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lorca Deportiva sit 8th on 13 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Orihuela's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Real Murcia II 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lorca Deportiva's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Elche II 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Orihuela arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Orihuela and 1.1 for Lorca Deportiva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Orihuela 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orihuela47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Lorca Deportiva29%fair 3.44 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.44Orihuela xG
1.06Lorca Deportiva xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.4 – 1.1 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✓
47%
2.13
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.46
–
Form
Orihuela – last 6
WLWLDW
5 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
3 May
vs Getafe II
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Conquense
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
DLLDDL
6 Sep
vs Elche II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Águilas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Yeclano
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Almería II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Melilla
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lorca Deportiva 29%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva?
Orihuela vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
