Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Valencia II to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.38
Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Ucam Murcia take on Valencia II on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Estadio de La Condomina. Ucam Murcia are 2nd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Valencia II sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ucam Murcia's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Castellonense 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Valencia II's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Mallorca II 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Valencia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Ucam Murcia and 1.2 for Valencia II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ucam Murcia 41%, draw 23%, Valencia II 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Valencia II to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Ucam Murcia 1–1 Valencia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ucam Murcia41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Valencia II36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.30Ucam Murcia xG
1.20Valencia II xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.3 – 1.2 Valencia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✓
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.38
–
Form
Ucam Murcia – last 6
LLLLLD
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
3 May
@ Xerez
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Real Jaén
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ La Unión Atlético
1–4
L
5 Apr
@ Deportiva Minera
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valencia II – last 6
DLWLWD
6 Sep
vs Mallorca II
1–1
D
3 May
@ Olot
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Espanyol II
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Andratx
3–5
L
28 Mar
vs Terrassa
5–1
W
22 Mar
@ Atlètic Lleida
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Valencia II.
What is the prediction for Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?
On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valencia II 36%.
How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?
Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–1 Valencia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II?
Ucam Murcia vs Valencia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
