Value bet: Elche II to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCieza to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.78
Cieza vs Elche II preview and prediction
The match
Cieza host Elche II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). Cieza are 6th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Elche II sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cieza's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Alcoyano 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Elche II's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Lorca Deportiva 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Cieza and 1.0 for Elche II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cieza 44%, draw 22%, Elche II 34%.
Value angle: Elche II to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Cieza 1–1 Elche II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cieza44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Elche II34%fair 2.95 · @3.30
2.26Expected goals
1.23Cieza xG
1.03Elche II xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cieza 1.2 – 1.0 Elche II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cieza to win✓
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cieza / FT Cieza✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.78
–
Form
Cieza – last 6
DWLDWD
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
10 Apr
@ Real Murcia II
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Yeclano II
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ SFC Minerva
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Elche II – last 6
DWLLLW
6 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
3 May
vs Quintanar del Rey
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ CD Coria
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cieza and Elche II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cieza vs Elche II?
On our numbers Cieza have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elche II 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cieza vs Elche II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cieza vs Elche II?
Our predicted score is Cieza 1–1 Elche II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cieza vs Elche II?
Cieza vs Elche II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
