Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega preview and prediction
The match
Gimnástica Torrelavega travel to Estadio Las Llanas in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 10 October (17:30 WAT) to face Sestao River. Sestao River are 1st with 25 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Gimnástica Torrelavega sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sestao River's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Gernika 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Marino de Luanco 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 August 2026, finished Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Sestao River.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Sestao River and 0.7 for Gimnástica Torrelavega. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sestao River 64%, draw 25%, Gimnástica Torrelavega 11%.
Safer route: Sestao River or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sestao River to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sestao River 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sestao River64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Gimnástica Torrelavega11%fair 9.47 · @4.60
2.60Expected goals
1.91Sestao River xG
0.69Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sestao River 1.9 – 0.7 Gimnástica Torrelavega expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnástica Torrelavega 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
