Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Eibar II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEibar II to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceEibar II or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Eibar II vs Basconia preview and prediction
The match
Eibar II host Basconia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT). Eibar II are 2nd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Basconia sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Eibar II's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Racing Santander II 5–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Basconia's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Llanera 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Eibar II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Eibar II 1–3 Basconia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Eibar II and 0.9 for Basconia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eibar II 65%, draw 23%, Basconia 12%.
Safer route: Eibar II or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Eibar II to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Eibar II or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Eibar II 2–0 Basconia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eibar II65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Basconia12%fair 8.05 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
2.13Eibar II xG
0.87Basconia xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Eibar II 2.1 – 0.9 Basconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Eibar II or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eibar II vs Basconia?
On our numbers Eibar II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Basconia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar II vs Basconia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar II vs Basconia?
Our predicted score is Eibar II 2–0 Basconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Eibar II vs Basconia?
Eibar II vs Basconia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
