Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Atlético Astorga take on Ourense CF on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Atlético Astorga are 17th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Ourense CF sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlético Astorga's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Amorebieta 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ourense CF's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Arosa 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ourense CF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Atlético Astorga and 1.2 for Ourense CF. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Astorga 28%, draw 24%, Ourense CF 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Atlético Astorga 1–1 Ourense CF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Astorga28%fair 3.53 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Ourense CF48%fair 2.08 · @2.15
2.00Expected goals
0.81Atlético Astorga xG
1.19Ourense CF xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atlético Astorga 0.8 – 1.2 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ourense CF to win✗
48%
2.08
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.21
–
Form
Atlético Astorga – last 6
LLWLLL
3 Oct
vs Amorebieta
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Palencia CF
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 6
DWLWWL
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Eibar II
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Basconia
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Lugo
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Astorga and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Atlético Astorga have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ourense CF 48%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Atlético Astorga 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF?
Atlético Astorga vs Ourense CF (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
