Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Amorebieta vs Portugalete preview and prediction
The match
Portugalete travel to Campo Municipal de Urritxe in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 10 October (17:00 WAT) to face Amorebieta. Amorebieta are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Portugalete sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Amorebieta's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Atlético Astorga 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Portugalete's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Alavés II 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portugalete arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Amorebieta and 0.8 for Portugalete. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Amorebieta 1–0 Portugalete. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amorebieta48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Portugalete29%fair 3.39 · @3.30
2.00Expected goals
1.18Amorebieta xG
0.82Portugalete xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.2 – 0.8 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Amorebieta – last 6
WLWLDL
3 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Portugalete – last 6
LLWDWW
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Portugalete.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Portugalete 29%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–0 Portugalete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Portugalete?
Amorebieta vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
