Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Marino de Luanco to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarino de Luanco to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Llanera vs Marino de Luanco preview and prediction
The match
Marino de Luanco travel to face Llanera in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 10 October (17:00 WAT). Llanera are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Marino de Luanco sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Llanera's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Basconia 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Marino de Luanco's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Gimnástica Torrelavega 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Llanera and 1.5 for Marino de Luanco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Llanera 37%, draw 25%, Marino de Luanco 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Marino de Luanco to win at 2.88 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Llanera 1–1 Marino de Luanco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Llanera37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Marino de Luanco39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
2.90Expected goals
1.43Llanera xG
1.47Marino de Luanco xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Llanera 1.4 – 1.5 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marino de Luanco to win✗
39%
2.58
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Llanera – last 6
DWLLLD
3 Oct
@ Basconia
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Gernika
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Marino de Luanco – last 6
WLLLWL
3 Oct
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Basconia
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llanera and Marino de Luanco.
What is the prediction for Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
On our numbers Llanera have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Marino de Luanco 39%.
How many goals will there be in Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
Our predicted score is Llanera 1–1 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Llanera vs Marino de Luanco?
Llanera vs Marino de Luanco (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
