UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Cultural Leonesa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cultural Leonesa to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCultural Leonesa to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceCultural Leonesa or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.17
UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa preview and prediction
The match
UD Ourense host Cultural Leonesa in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). UD Ourense are 20th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Cultural Leonesa sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
UD Ourense's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Cultural Leonesa's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Gimnástica Segoviana 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for UD Ourense and 1.5 for Cultural Leonesa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: UD Ourense 13%, draw 25%, Cultural Leonesa 61%.
Safer route: Cultural Leonesa or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cultural Leonesa to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cultural Leonesa or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UD Ourense 0–1 Cultural Leonesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UD Ourense13%fair 7.47 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Cultural Leonesa61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
2.06Expected goals
0.54UD Ourense xG
1.52Cultural Leonesa xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–215%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: UD Ourense 0.5 – 1.5 Cultural Leonesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cultural Leonesa to win✗
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cultural Leonesa or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cultural Leonesa / FT Cultural Leonesa✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.17
–
Form
UD Ourense – last 6
DLLWDD
29 Oct
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Arenas Getxo
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Real Avilés
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Real Unión
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Cacereño
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cultural Leonesa – last 6
WLDWLD
27 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Pontevedra
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ UD Logroñés
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
4–1
W
3 Oct
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs CD Coria
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Ourense and Cultural Leonesa.
What is the prediction for UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our pick is Cultural Leonesa or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
On our numbers UD Ourense have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cultural Leonesa 61%.
How many goals will there be in UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our predicted score is UD Ourense 0–1 Cultural Leonesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
