Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: CD Coria to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Coria to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceCD Coria or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo preview and prediction
The match
Arenas Getxo travel to face CD Coria in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 1 November (16:30 WAT). CD Coria are 17th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Arenas Getxo sit 19th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CD Coria's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with SS Reyes 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Arenas Getxo's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat UD Ourense 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for CD Coria and 1.0 for Arenas Getxo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Coria 61%, draw 23%, Arenas Getxo 16%.
Safer route: CD Coria or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: CD Coria to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Coria or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CD Coria 2–1 Arenas Getxo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Coria61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.25
Arenas Getxo16%fair 6.45 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
2.14CD Coria xG
1.03Arenas Getxo xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Coria 2.1 – 1.0 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Coria to win✗
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
CD Coria or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
CD Coria ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Coria / FT CD Coria✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
CD Coria – last 6
DDWLLD
29 Oct
@ SS Reyes
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Mérida AD
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Athletic Club II
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Extremadura 1924
2–4
L
4 Oct
@ Zamora
0–2
L
26 Sep
@ Cultural Leonesa
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arenas Getxo – last 6
WLLDLL
24 Oct
vs UD Ourense
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Mérida AD
0–4
L
12 Oct
@ Cultural Leonesa
1–4
L
3 Oct
@ Barakaldo
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Athletic Club II
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Cacereño
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Coria and Arenas Getxo.
What is the prediction for CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo?
Our pick is CD Coria or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo?
On our numbers CD Coria have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arenas Getxo 16%.
How many goals will there be in CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo?
Our predicted score is CD Coria 2–1 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo?
CD Coria vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
