Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarakaldo to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceBarakaldo or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra preview and prediction
The match
Pontevedra travel to Campo de Lasesarre in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT) to face Barakaldo. Barakaldo are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Pontevedra sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Barakaldo's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Ponferradina 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pontevedra's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Arosa 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Barakaldo and 0.6 for Pontevedra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Barakaldo to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barakaldo 1–0 Pontevedra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barakaldo61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Pontevedra14%fair 7.37 · @4.20
2.28Expected goals
1.64Barakaldo xG
0.64Pontevedra xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.6 – 0.6 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Barakaldo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Barakaldo – last 6
DWLDDL
24 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Mirandes
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Real Avilés
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 6
LWWLLD
27 Oct
@ Arosa
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Cultural Leonesa
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Cacereño
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Mérida AD
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Racing Ferrol
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Ponferradina
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is Barakaldo to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pontevedra 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–0 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
