Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUD Logroñés to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés preview and prediction
The match
UD Logroñés travel to Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 24 October (17:45 WAT) to face Real Avilés. Real Avilés are 4th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top four), while UD Logroñés sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Real Avilés's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat UD Ourense 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
UD Logroñés's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Cultural Leonesa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Real Avilés and 1.7 for UD Logroñés. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Avilés 34%, draw 25%, UD Logroñés 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Avilés 1–1 UD Logroñés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Avilés34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
UD Logroñés40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
3.25Expected goals
1.56Real Avilés xG
1.69UD Logroñés xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Real Avilés 1.6 – 1.7 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✓
40%
2.48
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Real Avilés – last 6
WWLDDW
18 Oct
vs UD Ourense
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Ponferradina
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Lugo
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Barakaldo
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ CD Coria
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 6
DLWWDW
18 Oct
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Lugo
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Mérida AD
5–3
W
18 Sep
vs Pontevedra
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ UD Ourense
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Avilés and UD Logroñés.
What is the prediction for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers Real Avilés have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UD Logroñés 40%.
How many goals will there be in Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is Real Avilés 1–1 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
