Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Mirandes to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMirandes to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceMirandes or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol preview and prediction
The match
Mirandes host Racing Ferrol in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva. Mirandes are 5th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Racing Ferrol sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mirandes's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Barakaldo 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Racing Ferrol's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Unionistas de Salamanca 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Racing Ferrol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Mirandes and 0.7 for Racing Ferrol. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mirandes 59%, draw 21%, Racing Ferrol 20%.
Safer route: Mirandes or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Mirandes to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mirandes or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mirandes 1–0 Racing Ferrol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirandes59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @2.90
Racing Ferrol20%fair 5.08 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.46Mirandes xG
0.67Racing Ferrol xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Mirandes 1.5 – 0.7 Racing Ferrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirandes to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Mirandes or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Form
Mirandes – last 6
LDLWDW
17 Oct
@ Barakaldo
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Zamora
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Real Unión
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Mérida AD
4–3
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Racing Ferrol – last 6
WWWLWW
17 Oct
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Pontevedra
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Lugo
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Unión
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirandes and Racing Ferrol.
What is the prediction for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
Our pick is Mirandes or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
On our numbers Mirandes have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Racing Ferrol 20%.
How many goals will there be in Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
Our predicted score is Mirandes 1–0 Racing Ferrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
