Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo preview and prediction
The match
Barakaldo travel to face Ponferradina in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 24 October (17:45 WAT). Ponferradina are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Barakaldo sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ponferradina's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Zamora 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barakaldo's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Mirandes 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Ponferradina 1–0 Barakaldo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Ponferradina and 0.8 for Barakaldo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Ponferradina 1–0 Barakaldo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponferradina47%fair 2.13 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.75
Barakaldo29%fair 3.44 · @3.40
1.88Expected goals
1.11Ponferradina xG
0.77Barakaldo xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ponferradina 1.1 – 0.8 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Ponferradina have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barakaldo 29%.
How many goals will there be in Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Ponferradina 1–0 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
