Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUD Ourense to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense preview and prediction
The match
UD Ourense travel to Reina Sofia in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 19 September (12:00 WAT) to face Unionistas de Salamanca. Unionistas de Salamanca are 15th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while UD Ourense sit 20th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Unionistas de Salamanca's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Real Avilés 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UD Ourense's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to UD Logroñés 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Unionistas de Salamanca and 1.5 for UD Ourense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Unionistas de Salamanca 35%, draw 24%, UD Ourense 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 UD Ourense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Unionistas de Salamanca35%fair 2.86 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.00
UD Ourense41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.84Expected goals
1.36Unionistas de Salamanca xG
1.48UD Ourense xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Unionistas de Salamanca 1.4 – 1.5 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Ourense to win✗
41%
2.47
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Ourense / FT UD Ourense✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Unionistas de Salamanca – last 6
LLLWWW
12 Sep
@ Real Avilés
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Real Unión
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Lugo
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Cacereño
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs Alcorcon
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
LLLWWD
12 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Mirandes
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
31 May
@ Conquense
2–0
W
24 May
vs Conquense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unionistas de Salamanca and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Unionistas de Salamanca have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UD Ourense 41%.
How many goals will there be in Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Reina Sofia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
