Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Coria to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.59
CD Coria vs Real Avilés preview and prediction
The match
CD Coria host Real Avilés in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Estadio La Isla. CD Coria are 17th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Real Avilés sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CD Coria's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Lugo 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Real Avilés's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Unionistas de Salamanca 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real Avilés arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for CD Coria and 1.3 for Real Avilés. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Coria 44%, draw 23%, Real Avilés 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: CD Coria 1–1 Real Avilés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Coria44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Real Avilés34%fair 2.98 · @2.88
2.76Expected goals
1.50CD Coria xG
1.27Real Avilés xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: CD Coria 1.5 – 1.3 Real Avilés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Coria to win✗
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Coria / FT CD Coria✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.59
–
Form
CD Coria – last 6
LWLDWL
13 Sep
@ Lugo
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Barakaldo
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Real Unión
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ Valladolid
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Avilés – last 6
WLLWWD
12 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Athletic Club II
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Pontevedra
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Sporting Gijón II
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Mosconia
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Coria and Real Avilés.
What is the prediction for CD Coria vs Real Avilés?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CD Coria vs Real Avilés?
On our numbers CD Coria have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Avilés 34%.
How many goals will there be in CD Coria vs Real Avilés?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Coria vs Real Avilés?
Our predicted score is CD Coria 1–1 Real Avilés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CD Coria vs Real Avilés?
CD Coria vs Real Avilés (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Isla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
