Value bet: Real Unión to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Ferrol to win ✓37% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Racing Ferrol take on Real Unión on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal da Malata. Racing Ferrol are 6th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Real Unión sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Racing Ferrol's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Extremadura 1924 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Unión's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Unionistas de Salamanca 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Real Unión arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Racing Ferrol and 1.7 for Real Unión. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Ferrol 37%, draw 25%, Real Unión 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Real Unión to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Unión. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Ferrol37%fair 2.67 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.88
Real Unión37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
3.50Expected goals
1.75Racing Ferrol xG
1.75Real Unión xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.8 – 1.7 Real Unión expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win✓
37%
2.67
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.34
–
Form
Racing Ferrol – last 6
LDDDDD
6 Sep
@ Extremadura 1924
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
2–2
D
17 May
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
8 May
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Unión – last 6
WWDWWL
5 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Eibar
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ PAU
2–1
W
1 May
vs Alfaro
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Real Zaragoza II
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Real Unión.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Unión 37%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Unión, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal da Malata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
