Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLugo to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceLugo or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Lugo vs CD Coria preview and prediction
The match
CD Coria travel to Estadio Anxo Carro in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 13 September (17:15 WAT) to face Lugo. Lugo are 1st with 28 points from 11 games (top of the table), while CD Coria sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lugo's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Ponferradina 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CD Coria's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Barakaldo 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Lugo and 1.2 for CD Coria. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lugo 60%, draw 26%, CD Coria 14%.
Safer route: Lugo or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lugo 2–1 CD Coria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lugo60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
CD Coria14%fair 7.03 · @4.20
3.50Expected goals
2.33Lugo xG
1.17CD Coria xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lugo 2.3 – 1.2 CD Coria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugo to win✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Lugo or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Lugo ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugo / FT Lugo✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Lugo – last 6
DWWWLL
4 Sep
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Ourense CF
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
10 May
vs Zamora
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CD Coria – last 6
WLDWLW
5 Sep
vs Barakaldo
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Real Unión
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ Valladolid
1–4
L
31 May
@ Real Oviedo II
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugo and CD Coria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lugo vs CD Coria?
On our numbers Lugo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CD Coria 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lugo vs CD Coria?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugo vs CD Coria?
Our predicted score is Lugo 2–1 CD Coria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lugo vs CD Coria?
Lugo vs CD Coria (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Anxo Carro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
