Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultZamora to win ✓38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.69
Arenas Getxo vs Zamora preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Arenas Getxo take on Zamora on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura. Arenas Getxo are 19th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Zamora sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arenas Getxo's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Pontevedra 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Zamora's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to UD Logroñés 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zamora arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Arenas Getxo and 1.5 for Zamora. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arenas Getxo 1–1 Zamora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arenas Getxo36%fair 2.78 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Zamora38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
3.00Expected goals
1.47Arenas Getxo xG
1.53Zamora xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arenas Getxo 1.5 – 1.5 Zamora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win✓
38%
2.61
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora / FT Zamora✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.69
–
Form
Arenas Getxo – last 6
LDLLDW
5 Sep
@ Pontevedra
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Laredo
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Eibar
0–5
L
8 May
vs Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Mérida AD
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zamora – last 6
LDWLWW
6 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
1–0
W
19 Jun
@ Sabadell
0–4
L
13 Jun
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
7 Jun
vs Villarreal II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arenas Getxo and Zamora.
What is the prediction for Arenas Getxo vs Zamora?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Zamora?
On our numbers Arenas Getxo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zamora 38%.
How many goals will there be in Arenas Getxo vs Zamora?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenas Getxo vs Zamora?
Our predicted score is Arenas Getxo 1–1 Zamora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arenas Getxo vs Zamora?
Arenas Getxo vs Zamora (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
