Value bet: Cacereño to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCacereño to win ✓37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.43
Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa preview and prediction
The match
Cacereño host Cultural Leonesa in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Estadio Principe Felipe. Cacereño are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Cultural Leonesa sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cacereño's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat UD San Pedro 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cultural Leonesa's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Mérida AD 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.5 for Cacereño and 0.5 for Cultural Leonesa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cacereño 37%, draw 26%, Cultural Leonesa 37%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Cacereño to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Cacereño 0–0 Cultural Leonesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cacereño37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Cultural Leonesa37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
1.00Expected goals
0.50Cacereño xG
0.50Cultural Leonesa xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–018%
0–118%
1–19%
2–05%
0–25%
From our goals model: Cacereño 0.5 – 0.5 Cultural Leonesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cacereño to win✓
37%
2.69
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.43
–
Form
Cacereño – last 6
WDWLWW
9 Sep
vs UD San Pedro
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Mirandes
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Villanovense
2–0
W
3 May
@ Arenteiro
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cultural Leonesa – last 6
WDDWDD
6 Sep
vs Mérida AD
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Barakaldo
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Salamanca UDS
5–0
W
8 Aug
@ Burgos
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Cultural Leonesa.
What is the prediction for Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cultural Leonesa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 0–0 Cultural Leonesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
