Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZamora to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceZamora or draw ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Zamora vs UD Logroñés preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Zamora take on UD Logroñés on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata. Zamora are 16th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while UD Logroñés sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Zamora's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Athletic Club II 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UD Logroñés's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Extremadura 1924 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Zamora and 0.8 for UD Logroñés. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zamora 58%, draw 25%, UD Logroñés 17%.
Safer route: Zamora or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Zamora 1–0 UD Logroñés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zamora58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
UD Logroñés17%fair 5.95 · @3.90
2.43Expected goals
1.66Zamora xG
0.77UD Logroñés xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Zamora 1.7 – 0.8 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Zamora or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora / FT Zamora✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
Zamora – last 6
DWLWWW
29 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
1–0
W
19 Jun
@ Sabadell
0–4
L
13 Jun
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
7 Jun
vs Villarreal II
2–0
W
10 May
@ Lugo
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 6
WWWLWL
31 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Huesca II
4–0
W
21 Aug
vs Mirandes
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Zaragoza
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Huesca
1–0
W
30 May
@ SS Reyes
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamora and UD Logroñés.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers Zamora have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UD Logroñés 17%.
How many goals will there be in Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is Zamora 1–0 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
Zamora vs UD Logroñés (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
