Value bet: Racing Ferrol to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultExtremadura 1924 to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.26
Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol preview and prediction
The match
Extremadura 1924 host Racing Ferrol in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Estadio Francisco de la Hera. Extremadura 1924 are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Racing Ferrol sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Extremadura 1924's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to UD Logroñés 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Racing Ferrol's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Arenas Getxo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Extremadura 1924 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Extremadura 1924 and 1.2 for Racing Ferrol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Extremadura 1924 40%, draw 25%, Racing Ferrol 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Racing Ferrol to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Extremadura 1924 1–1 Racing Ferrol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Extremadura 192440%fair 2.47 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Racing Ferrol34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.32Extremadura 1924 xG
1.18Racing Ferrol xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Extremadura 1924 1.3 – 1.2 Racing Ferrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Extremadura 1924 to win✓
40%
2.47
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Extremadura 1924 / FT Extremadura 1924✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.26
–
Form
Extremadura 1924 – last 6
LDWWWW
31 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ CD Coria
2–2
D
3 May
@ Linares Deportivo
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs La Unión Atlético
4–2
W
29 Mar
vs Deportiva Minera
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Melilla
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Racing Ferrol – last 6
DDDDDW
29 Aug
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
2–2
D
17 May
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
8 May
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Athletic Club II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Extremadura 1924 and Racing Ferrol.
What is the prediction for Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
On our numbers Extremadura 1924 have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Racing Ferrol 34%.
How many goals will there be in Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
Our predicted score is Extremadura 1924 1–1 Racing Ferrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol?
Extremadura 1924 vs Racing Ferrol (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco de la Hera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
