Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOviedo to win ✗38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗63% · fair 1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Sabadell vs Oviedo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Sabadell take on Oviedo on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Nova Creu Alta. Sabadell are 13th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Oviedo sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sabadell's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Mallorca 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oviedo's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Valladolid 3–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.6 for Sabadell and 0.7 for Oviedo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 86% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sabadell 36%, draw 26%, Oviedo 38%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Oviedo to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Sabadell 0–0 Oviedo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sabadell36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Oviedo38%fair 2.62 · @3.25
1.30Expected goals
0.63Sabadell xG
0.67Oviedo xG
42%Both score
14%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–027%
0–118%
1–017%
1–112%
0–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Sabadell 0.6 – 0.7 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✗
38%
2.62
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
96%
1.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.48
–
Form
Sabadell – last 6
LWWDDW
13 Sep
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
7 Sep
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs Almeria
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Castellón
0–0
D
17 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Olot
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
WDWLDW
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Albacete
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Leganes
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Oviedo.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sabadell vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oviedo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Oviedo?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 14% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 0–0 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Oviedo?
Sabadell vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Creu Alta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
