Value bet: Granada CF to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeganes to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Leganes vs Granada CF preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Leganes take on Granada CF on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Municipal de Butarque. Leganes are 18th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Granada CF sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Leganes's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Tenerife 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Granada CF's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Albacete 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Leganes and 0.7 for Granada CF. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Granada CF to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leganes 1–1 Granada CF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leganes47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Granada CF30%fair 3.29 · @3.70
1.70Expected goals
1.00Leganes xG
0.70Granada CF xG
51%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–018%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.0 – 0.7 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leganes to win✓
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.48
–
Form
Leganes – last 6
LDWWDD
13 Sep
@ Tenerife
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Las Palmas
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Eldense
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Oviedo
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Girona
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Tenerife
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Granada CF – last 6
DLWWDW
12 Sep
vs Albacete
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Eibar
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Cordoba
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs Mallorca
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Antequera
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Granada CF.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Leganes vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Leganes have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Granada CF 30%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Granada CF?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Granada CF?
Our predicted score is Leganes 1–1 Granada CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Leganes vs Granada CF?
Leganes vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Butarque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
