Valladolid travel to Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube in the Segunda División on Sunday 20 September (15:15 WAT) to face AD Ceuta FC. AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Valladolid sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Burgos 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Valladolid's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Oviedo 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Valladolid arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.4 for Valladolid. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Ceuta FC 34%, draw 24%, Valladolid 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Ceuta FC34%fair 2.90 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Valladolid41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
2.60Expected goals
1.23AD Ceuta FC xG
1.37Valladolid xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.2 – 1.4 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✗
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.81
–
Form
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LLLLLW
11 Sep
@ Burgos
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Mallorca
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Las Palmas
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ FC Andorra
1–5
L
7 Aug
vs Malaga
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valladolid – last 6
LWDLLW
13 Sep
vs Oviedo
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Andorra
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Cadiz
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Eibar
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
4–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valladolid 41%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
