Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmeria to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Almeria take on Celta de Vigo II on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at UD Almería Stadium. Almeria are 1st with 29 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Celta de Vigo II sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Almeria's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Cordoba 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celta de Vigo II's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Eibar 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Almeria and 0.8 for Celta de Vigo II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almeria 64%, draw 22%, Celta de Vigo II 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Almeria to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Almeria 1–0 Celta de Vigo II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almeria64%fair 1.56 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.50
Celta de Vigo II13%fair 7.51 · @6.50
2.70Expected goals
1.93Almeria xG
0.77Celta de Vigo II xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Almeria 1.9 – 0.8 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Double chance
Almeria or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Almeria ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Almeria – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Sep
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Cadiz
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Sabadell
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Tenerife
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Eldense
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Cordoba
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
LWLWDW
14 Sep
vs Eibar
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Castellón
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs FC Andorra
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Cadiz
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Vizela
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almeria and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Almeria to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Almeria have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celta de Vigo II 13%.
How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Almeria 1–0 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at UD Almería Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
