Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Środa host Elana Toruń in the III Liga Group 2 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Polonia Środa are 1st with 37 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Elana Toruń sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Polonia Środa's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Noteć Czarnków 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Elana Toruń's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Lech Poznań II 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Polonia Środa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Elana Toruń 0–3 Polonia Środa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Polonia Środa and 1.0 for Elana Toruń. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Środa to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Polonia Środa 2–1 Elana Toruń. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Środa71%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @4.75
Elana Toruń11%fair 8.94 · @6.00
3.74Expected goals
2.70Polonia Środa xG
1.05Elana Toruń xG
52%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 2.7 – 1.0 Elana Toruń expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
Our pick is Polonia Środa to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elana Toruń 11%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 2–1 Elana Toruń, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
