III Liga Group 2 · PolandVictoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew prediction & analysis
Victoria Września to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Victoria Września 2.0 – 1.2 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Victoria Września hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 24% for Lipno Stęszew.
Victoria Września have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Lipno Stęszew have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.0 for Victoria Września, 1.2 for Lipno Stęszew). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Victoria Września have won 0, Lipno Stęszew have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Victoria Września to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Victoria Września to win ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time result | Victoria Września ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Victoria Września / FT Victoria Września ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.28 | – |
Form
Victoria Września – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Stargard Szczeciński | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Kalisz | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Bałtyk Koszalin | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Kotwica Kórnik | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Flota Świnoujście | 0–5 | L |
Lipno Stęszew – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Bałtyk Koszalin | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Flota Świnoujście | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Luzino | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Polonia Środa | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ Lech Poznań II | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 23 May 2026 | Victoria Września v Lipno Stęszew | 1–3 |
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our pick is Victoria Września to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
On our numbers Victoria Września have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lipno Stęszew 24%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.