III Liga Group 2 · PolandBałtyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bałtyk Koszalin 1.7 – 1.7 Gedania Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bałtyk Koszalin and Gedania Gdansk on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bałtyk Koszalin have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Gedania Gdansk have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.7 for Bałtyk Koszalin, 1.7 for Gedania Gdansk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.62.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bałtyk Koszalin to win ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 37% | 2.68 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bałtyk Koszalin / FT Bałtyk Koszalin ✗ | 23% | 4.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.00 | – |
Form
Bałtyk Koszalin – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Lipno Stęszew | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Stargard Szczeciński | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Victoria Września | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Kalisz | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 1–0 | W |
Gedania Gdansk – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Kotwica Kórnik | 6–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Flota Świnoujście | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Luzino | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Polonia Środa | 3–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Lech Poznań II | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ Kluczevia Stargard | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bałtyk Koszalin and Gedania Gdansk.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk?
On our numbers Bałtyk Koszalin have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gedania Gdansk 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bałtyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.