III Liga Group 2 · PolandChemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński prediction & analysis
Stargard Szczeciński to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.2 – 2.2 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stargard Szczeciński travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 21% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Chemik Bydgoszcz have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Stargard Szczeciński have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Stargard Szczeciński come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.2 for Chemik Bydgoszcz, 2.2 for Stargard Szczeciński). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Stargard Szczeciński to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stargard Szczeciński to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time result | Stargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.34 | – |
Form
Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Kalisz | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Victoria Września | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Bałtyk Koszalin | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Piast Gliwice | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Flota Świnoujście | 1–1 | D |
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Victoria Września | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Bałtyk Koszalin | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Kotwica Kórnik | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Flota Świnoujście | 5–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Luzino | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Polonia Środa | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemik Bydgoszcz and Stargard Szczeciński.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Stargard Szczeciński to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Chemik Bydgoszcz have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Stargard Szczeciński 63%.
How many goals will there be in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.