Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano
2–1
FT

Velo Clube vs São Luiz prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Velo Clube to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.90Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultVelo Clube to win ✓62% · @1.90
Double chanceVelo Clube or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.37

Velo Clube vs São Luiz preview and prediction

The match

São Luiz travel to Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano in the Serie D on Saturday 4 July (23:00 WAT) to face Velo Clube.

Form guide

Velo Clube's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Água Santa 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

São Luiz's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Blumenau 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.

São Luiz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Velo Clube and 0.6 for São Luiz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Velo Clube to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Velo Clube 1–0 São Luiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Velo Clube62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @2.90
São Luiz16%fair 6.28 · @4.00
2.10Expected goals
1.51Velo Clube xG
0.58São Luiz xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Velo Clube 1.5 – 0.6 São Luiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVelo Clube to win ✓62%1.621.90 ▲
Double chanceVelo Clube or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.871.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.571.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Velo Clube / FT Velo Clube ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.37–

Form

Velo Clube – last 6

DDWLDL
27 Jun@ Água Santa1–1D
20 Junvs Água Santa0–0D
7 Junvs CFRJ Maricá3–1W
30 May@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ0–1L
23 Mayvs XV de Piracicaba1–1D
16 Feb@ Santos0–7L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

São Luiz – last 6

DDWDDW
27 Jun@ Blumenau1–1D
20 Junvs Blumenau1–1D
7 Junvs Joinville3–1W
31 May@ Cascavel0–0D
7 Mar@ Novo Hamburgo1–1D
2 Marvs Novo Hamburgo1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Velo Clube and São Luiz.

Velo Clube vs São Luiz head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Velo Clube vs São Luiz?

Our pick is Velo Clube to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Velo Clube vs São Luiz?

On our numbers Velo Clube have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and São Luiz 16%.

How many goals will there be in Velo Clube vs São Luiz?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Velo Clube vs São Luiz?

Our predicted score is Velo Clube 1–0 São Luiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Velo Clube vs São Luiz?

Velo Clube vs São Luiz (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.