Serie D · Brazil
Serra Branca vs Uberlandia prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Serra Branca 1.1 – 0.9 Uberlandia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Serra Branca hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 32% for Uberlandia.
Serra Branca have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Uberlandia have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Serra Branca come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Serra Branca, 0.9 for Uberlandia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.96.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Serra Branca to win ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Serra Branca / FT Serra Branca ✗ | 22% | 4.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.89 | – |
Form
Serra Branca – last 6
| 28 Jun | @ Juazeirense | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | vs Juazeirense | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | @ Sergipe | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | vs Retrô | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | @ Decisão | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | @ Botafogo PB | 1–1 | D |
Uberlandia – last 6
| 27 Jun | vs Rio Branco ES | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Rio Branco ES | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs ABECAT Ouvidorense | 0–1 | L |
| 31 May | @ Ivinhema | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | @ CRAC | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | vs Ipatinga | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Serra Branca and Uberlandia.
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ABC1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Serra Branca vs Uberlandia?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Serra Branca vs Uberlandia?
On our numbers Serra Branca have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Uberlandia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Serra Branca vs Uberlandia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Serra Branca vs Uberlandia?
Serra Branca vs Uberlandia (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.