Value bet: Iguatu to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaguary PE to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Maguary PE vs Iguatu preview and prediction
The match
Iguatu travel to face Maguary PE in the Serie D on Saturday 4 July (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Maguary PE's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Piauí 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Iguatu's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Tuna Luso 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Iguatu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Maguary PE and 0.8 for Iguatu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maguary PE 44%, draw 24%, Iguatu 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Iguatu to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Maguary PE 1–1 Iguatu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maguary PE44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Iguatu32%fair 3.13 · @3.50
1.75Expected goals
0.99Maguary PE xG
0.76Iguatu xG
50%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Maguary PE 1.0 – 0.8 Iguatu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maguary PE to win✗
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Maguary PE – last 6
LWLDDL
27 Jun
@ Piauí
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Piauí
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ ABC
0–1
L
25 May
@ Laguna
1–1
D
17 May
@ Central SC
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Fortaleza EC
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Iguatu – last 4
DWWD
27 Jun
vs Tuna Luso
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Tuna Luso
2–1
W
7 Jun
@ Sampaio Correa
1–0
W
30 May
vs Parnahyba
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maguary PE and Iguatu.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
On our numbers Maguary PE have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iguatu 32%.
How many goals will there be in Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
Our predicted score is Maguary PE 1–1 Iguatu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
Maguary PE vs Iguatu (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Cianorte4
XV de Piracicaba0
CRAC2
Treze1
Sao Jose1
Portuguesa RJ0
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario1
Nacional AM1
Capital Brasilia0
Trem1
America-RN4
Serra Branca0
Uberlandia1
Águia de Marabá2
ABC1