Ferroviario travel to face Imperatriz in the Serie D on Saturday 4 July (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Imperatriz's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Maracanã 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ferroviario's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Central SC 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ferroviario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Imperatriz and 1.3 for Ferroviario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Imperatriz 1–1 Ferroviario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imperatriz30%fair 3.30 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.70
Ferroviario46%fair 2.20 · @2.30
2.25Expected goals
0.97Imperatriz xG
1.28Ferroviario xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Imperatriz 1.0 – 1.3 Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviario to win✗
46%
2.20
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviario / FT Ferroviario✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Imperatriz – last 6
DDWWLL
27 Jun
@ Maracanã
0–0
D
20 Jun
vs Maracanã
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tuna Luso
4–0
W
31 May
@ Oratório
1–0
W
23 May
vs Águia de Marabá
0–3
L
5 May
@ Trem
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ferroviario – last 6
WDWDWD
28 Jun
vs Central SC
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Central SC
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Fluminense PI
1–0
W
1 Jun
@ TirolCEFAT
0–0
D
17 May
vs Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2–0
W
11 May
@ Piauí
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imperatriz and Ferroviario.
What is the prediction for Imperatriz vs Ferroviario?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Imperatriz vs Ferroviario?
On our numbers Imperatriz have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ferroviario 46%.
How many goals will there be in Imperatriz vs Ferroviario?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imperatriz vs Ferroviario?
Our predicted score is Imperatriz 1–1 Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Imperatriz vs Ferroviario?
Imperatriz vs Ferroviario (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.