The Serie D sees Sao Jose take on Portuguesa RJ on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Form guide
Sao Jose's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Santa Catarina 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portuguesa RJ's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Noroeste 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sao Jose arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Sao Jose and 0.9 for Portuguesa RJ. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sao Jose 41%, draw 25%, Portuguesa RJ 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sao Jose 1–1 Portuguesa RJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sao Jose41%fair 2.41 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.62
Portuguesa RJ33%fair 3.01 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.08Sao Jose xG
0.92Portuguesa RJ xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.1 – 0.9 Portuguesa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Jose to win✓
41%
2.41
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.85
–
Form
Sao Jose – last 6
DDWWDD
27 Jun
@ Santa Catarina
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Santa Catarina
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Blumenau
1–0
W
31 May
vs Independiente FSJ
1–0
W
24 May
vs Marcílio Dias
1–1
D
17 May
@ Brasil DE Pelotas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Portuguesa RJ – last 6
WDLDDL
28 Jun
@ Noroeste
3–1
W
21 Jun
vs Noroeste
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Portuguesa
0–2
L
30 May
vs América RJ
2–2
D
18 Apr
vs Madureira
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Paysandu
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Portuguesa RJ.
What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?
On our numbers Sao Jose have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portuguesa RJ 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?
Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–1 Portuguesa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?
Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
Cianorte4
XV de Piracicaba0
CRAC2
Treze1
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario1
Maguary PE2
Iguatu3
Nacional AM1
Capital Brasilia0
Trem1
America-RN4
Serra Branca0
Uberlandia1
Águia de Marabá2
ABC1