Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

Marcílio Dias

WDDDD
1–1
FT

Portuguesa

WDWWL

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultPortuguesa to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.73

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa preview and prediction

The match

Marcílio Dias host Portuguesa in the Serie D on Saturday 4 July, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Marcílio Dias's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Cascavel 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Portuguesa's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Marcílio Dias and 1.1 for Portuguesa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Marcílio Dias 0–1 Portuguesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Marcílio Dias32%fair 3.10 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
Portuguesa44%fair 2.29 · @2.45
2.02Expected goals
0.90Marcílio Dias xG
1.12Portuguesa xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 0.9 – 1.1 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortuguesa to win ✗44%2.292.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.972.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.661.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portuguesa / FT Portuguesa ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.73–

Form

Marcílio Dias – last 6

WDDDDW
28 Junvs Cascavel2–1W
21 Jun@ Cascavel2–2D
7 Jun@ Independiente FSJ0–0D
24 May@ Sao Jose1–1D
5 Aprvs Independiente FSJ0–0D
7 Marvs Joinville2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portuguesa – last 6

WDWWLW
27 Junvs Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–0W
20 Jun@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–1D
6 Junvs Portuguesa RJ2–0W
30 May@ Pouso Alegre2–1W
18 Marvs Paysandu2–3L
27 Febvs Altos5–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marcílio Dias and Portuguesa.

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Cianorte4 XV de Piracicaba0 138%2.40X28%2.50235%3.00 NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.53 ✓
FT CRAC2 Treze1 136%2.60X27%2.62237%2.80 GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.20 ✓
FT Sao Jose1 Portuguesa RJ0 141%2.38X25%2.62233%3.10 GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.15 ✗
FT Imperatriz1 Ferroviario1 130%3.00X24%2.70246%2.30 GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✓
FT Maguary PE2 Iguatu3 144%2.05X24%2.80232%3.50 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.00 ✓
FT Nacional AM1 Capital Brasilia0 141%2.10X25%2.60233%3.75 GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.45 ✗
FT Trem1 America-RN4 112%5.00X24%3.10263%1.62 2America-RN to win 63%@1.62 ✓
FT Serra Branca0 Uberlandia1 142%2.30X25%2.62232%3.10 NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.65 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portuguesa 44%.

How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 0–1 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.