Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYork to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceYork or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
York vs Northampton preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees York take on Northampton on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at York`s LNER Community Stadium. York are 7th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Northampton sit 21st on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
York's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Gillingham 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Northampton's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Cambridge United 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for York and 0.7 for Northampton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: York 64%, draw 19%, Northampton 17%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was York to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: York 1–0 Northampton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York64%fair 1.56 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.20
Northampton17%fair 5.91 · @6.00
2.33Expected goals
1.67York xG
0.66Northampton xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: York 1.7 – 0.7 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Double chance
York or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Form
York – last 6
WDLLWD
26 Sep
vs Gillingham
3–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Swindon Town
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Crewe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
LLLWDD
6 Oct
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Newport County
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Crawley Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Northampton.
Our pick is York to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win York vs Northampton?
On our numbers York have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Northampton 17%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Northampton?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is York 1–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is York vs Northampton?
York vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
