League Two · England · Rodney ParadeNewport County vs Colchester prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newport County 1.3 – 1.4 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Newport County and Colchester on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Newport County have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Colchester have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Newport County come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Newport County, 1.4 for Colchester). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colchester to win ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colchester / FT Colchester ✗ | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.75 | – |
Form
Newport County – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Plymouth | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Gillingham | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Grimsby | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Accrington ST | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | D |
Colchester – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Luton | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Shrewsbury | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ Peterborough | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Cheltenham | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Colchester.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Colchester?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Newport County vs Colchester?
On our numbers Newport County have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colchester 40%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Newport County vs Colchester?
Newport County vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.